CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
Mature Trend, sector confirmed; strongest on volatility (20/20); weakest on insider signal (2/20).
Mature Trend
XLP
sector confirmed
1 insider(s)
buy date unknown
66
conviction / 100
-0.5 since 24 Aug
80.0
technical / 100
$17,500–$24,500
Standard · sized down 30% for campaign stage (Mature Trend)
Regime clarity17.6
Sponsorship / positioning15.3
Volatility behaviour20.0
Catalyst alignment (insider)2.0
Cross-asset confirmation11.1
Last
110.12
Add above
113.67
Cut below
102.59
50DMA
105.10
200DMA
96.23
CCEP — daily, 14 months
XLP — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA rising
- 50DMA rising
- partial HH/HL structure
- efficiency ratio 0.26
- OBV 50d slope +0.059 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV flat-to-rising through last pullback
- last pullback 5.5% deep
- no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster
- net purchase ratio unavailable
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLP
- XLP above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLP vs SPY 6m: -12.9 pts
- stock vs XLP RS (3m/6m avg): +8.6 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 113.67 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLP extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (105.10) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (102.59) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
- Market cap $48,637,358,080 · 20d avg dollar volume $221,674,047
- No open-market insider transactions found in the lookback window.
- No material filings found in the window.