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ABCL

Requested read · Monday 24 August 2026, 22:00 · same framework and thresholds as the weekly CFO screen

Market regime: SPY above its rising 200DMA; efficiency ratio 0.04 — overlapping, stand aside. Stage: Mature Trend.
ABCL
AbCellera Biologics Inc.
Late Extension, sector confirmed; strongest on insider signal (17/20); weakest on sponsorship (14/20). Last earnings neutral (-2.8%); 122% above the 200DMA.
Late Extension XLV sector confirmed $529,596 CFO$1,968,179 other insiders (6) 4 insider(s) net purchase ratio +1.00 10d since buy
79
conviction / 100
+0.2 since 24 Aug
77.1
technical / 100
$16,000–$20,000
Standard · sized down 60% for campaign stage (Late Extension)
Regime clarity17.0
Sponsorship / positioning14.0
Volatility behaviour16.0
Catalyst alignment (insider)17.3
Cross-asset confirmation14.7
Last
10.61
Add above
12.15
Cut below
5.09
50DMA
7.32
200DMA
4.79
ABCL daily chart: price with 50 and 200 day moving averages, volume, and on-balance volume
ABCL — daily, 14 months
XLV sector ETF daily chart
XLV — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
  • price above 200DMA
  • 200DMA rising
  • 50DMA rising
  • partial HH/HL structure
  • efficiency ratio 0.22
Sponsorship / positioning
  • OBV 50d slope +0.318 avg-daily-volumes/bar
  • price/volume history is NOT one continuous security — a single 35% session gap. A conversion, large secondary or stock merger changes the share count, so the 200DMA averages two capital structures and OBV sums two different securities. Read this pillar with suspicion.
  • no OBV divergence at highs
  • OBV fell through last pullback
Volatility behaviour
  • last pullback 11.7% deep
  • no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
  • ATR expanding vs 20d mean
Catalyst alignment (insider)
  • cluster: 4 distinct insiders buying (2 CFO, 4 Director, 2 Unclassified)
  • net purchase ratio +1.00 (4 buying vs 0 selling)
  • CFO purchases $529,596 (CFO)
  • 1.5 bps of market cap
  • grew the CFO's own position by 15%
  • 10 days since the last CFO buy
Cross-asset confirmation
  • closest sector ETF: XLV
  • XLV above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
  • XLV vs SPY 6m: -1.3 pts
  • stock vs XLV RS (3m/6m avg): +163.0 pts
What strengthens the thesis
  • A confirmed higher high above 12.15 on expanding OBV.
  • Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
  • XLV extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
What invalidates the thesis
  • Loss of the rising 50DMA (7.32) with expanding volatility — reduce.
  • Breakdown below the prior structural base (5.09) — exit, no averaging down.
  • OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
  • Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
Insider detail
  • CFO: Booth Andrew — CFO
  • 2 CFO purchase(s), $529,596 total; last filed 2026-08-14 12:04:25
  • Market cap $3,451,104,256 · 20d avg dollar volume $95,837,374
Net insider activity
Net buying across the insider group.
Open-market purchases$2,497,775
Open-market sales$0
Sales after option exercise$0
Distinct buyers / sellers4 / 0
Net purchase ratio+1.00
Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales+1.00
Purchase tape
2 CFO purchase(s) worth $529,596, plus 6 by other insiders worth $1,968,179. Only the CFO purchases score on the size and recency terms.
Trade dateInsiderSharesPriceValuePrice now vs buy
26 Feb 2026Thermopylae Holdings Ltd.Unclassified177,457$3.27$580,284+224.5%
27 Feb 2026Thermopylae Holdings Ltd.Unclassified38,000$3.44$130,720+208.4%
27 Feb 2026Booth AndrewCFO42,600$3.42$145,692+210.2%
14 May 2026Montalbano John S.Director20,000$4.77$95,400+122.4%
12 Aug 2026Hayden Michael RDirector46,387$10.37$481,033+2.3%
14 Aug 2026Booth AndrewCFO37,200$10.32$383,904+2.8%
18 Aug 2026Montalbano John S.Director10,000$11.03$110,300-3.8%
24 Aug 2026Hayden Michael RDirector53,613$10.64$570,442-0.3%
Reaction to news
8 material events; 2 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 05 Aug: neutral (-2.8%).
SessionFilingEventGapDayvs SPYVol+5dRead
13 Aug 268-KMaterial agreement; Other material event-0.3%+5.9%+5.2%2.5x+5.5%Rewarded
10 Aug 268-KRegulation FD disclosure+26.4%+34.8%+34.8%9.0x+19.9%Neutral
07 Aug 268-KOther material event+1.8%+6.1%+5.5%1.3x+64.2%Rewarded
05 Aug 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings); Regulation FD disclosure-0.7%-2.8%-2.6%0.9x+74.9%Neutral
05 Aug 2610-QQuarterly report-0.7%-2.8%-2.6%0.9x+74.9%Neutral
29 Jul 268-KOther material event+0.9%+1.9%+3.4%0.9x+9.8%Neutral
06 Jul 268-KDirector or officer change-0.7%-3.0%-3.8%0.8x-17.2%Neutral
17 Jun 268-KOther material event+2.3%+6.9%+8.1%0.8x+22.4%Neutral