ROP
Roper Technologies, Inc.
Stand aside — 200DMA is not rising — regime not clear. (+1 more)
Regime Shift
XLK
sector confirmed
1 insider(s)
net purchase ratio -1.00
buy date unknown
71
conviction / 100
+0.3 since 21 Aug
89.1
technical / 100
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity13.2
Sponsorship / positioning20.0
Volatility behaviour20.0
Catalyst alignment (insider)0.0
Cross-asset confirmation18.1
Stand aside — hard gate breached
- 200DMA is not rising — regime not clear.
- Insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (2 selling vs 0 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling.
Last
411.79
Add above
449.58
Cut below
387.82
50DMA
366.52
200DMA
376.10
ROP — daily, 14 months
XLK — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA flat/falling
- 50DMA rising
- partial HH/HL structure
- efficiency ratio 0.28
- OBV 50d slope +0.328 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV flat-to-rising through last pullback
- last pullback 4.6% deep
- no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster
- net purchase ratio -1.00 (0 buying vs 2 selling)
- insiders are NET SELLERS over the window
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLK
- XLK above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLK vs SPY 6m: +18.8 pts
- stock vs XLK RS (3m/6m avg): +8.7 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 449.58 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLK extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Continued base-building above the reclaimed 200DMA without volatility expansion.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (366.52) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (387.82) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
- Market cap $40,726,392,832 · 20d avg dollar volume $311,584,702
Insiders are NET SELLERS. The CFO purchase is contradicted.
| Open-market purchases | $0 |
| Open-market sales | $2,322,674 |
| Sales after option exercise | $758,100 |
| Distinct buyers / sellers | 0 / 2 |
| Net purchase ratio | -1.00 |
| Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales | -1.00 |
8 material events; 0 taken well, 1 badly; last earnings 23 Jul: faded (+5.5%).
| Session | Filing | Event | Gap | Day | vs SPY | Vol | +5d | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 26 | 8-K | Material event | -1.1% | +0.4% | +0.4% | 0.9x | -3.5% | Neutral |
| 31 Jul 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | -1.1% | +0.7% | -0.0% | 0.9x | +2.6% | Neutral |
| 23 Jul 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +8.6% | +5.5% | +6.7% | 1.5x | +9.6% | Faded |
| 19 May 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change | +0.9% | -0.6% | +0.0% | 1.2x | -3.7% | Neutral |
| 01 May 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | +1.3% | +1.0% | +0.7% | 0.8x | -4.2% | Neutral |
| 23 Apr 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +4.0% | -0.3% | +0.1% | 1.4x | -2.5% | Neutral |
| 01 Apr 26 | 8-K | Material agreement; Agreement terminated; Material obligation created | -0.7% | +0.6% | -0.2% | 1.0x | -1.4% | Neutral |
| 24 Feb 26 | 10-K | Annual report | +0.0% | +0.6% | -0.1% | 0.6x | +5.4% | Neutral |