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GS

Requested read · Friday 21 August 2026, 20:47 · same framework and thresholds as the weekly CFO screen

Market regime: SPY above its rising 200DMA; efficiency ratio 0.06 — overlapping, stand aside. Stage: Mature Trend.
GS
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)
Stand aside — insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (6 selling vs 0 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling. (+1 more)
Mature Trend XLF sector confirmed 1 insider(s) net purchase ratio -1.00 buy date unknown
50
conviction / 100
+1.1 since 21 Aug
62.2
technical / 100
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity14.0
Sponsorship / positioning7.0
Volatility behaviour18.9
Catalyst alignment (insider)0.0
Cross-asset confirmation9.9
Stand aside — hard gate breached
  • Insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (6 selling vs 0 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling.
  • Overlapping range behaviour — efficiency ratio 0.04 vs the 0.15 threshold (genuine chop).
Last
1,039.28
Add above
1,077.21
Cut below
980.75
50DMA
1,053.38
200DMA
931.40
GS daily chart: price with 50 and 200 day moving averages, volume, and on-balance volume
GS — daily, 14 months
XLF sector ETF daily chart
XLF — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
  • price above 200DMA
  • 200DMA rising
  • 50DMA rising
  • no HH/HL structure
  • efficiency ratio 0.04 (overlapping)
Sponsorship / positioning
  • OBV 50d slope -0.151 avg-daily-volumes/bar
  • no OBV divergence at highs
  • OBV fell through last pullback
Volatility behaviour
  • last pullback 14.9% deep
  • no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
  • ATR contracting vs 20d mean
Catalyst alignment (insider)
  • single insider — no cluster
  • net purchase ratio -1.00 (0 buying vs 6 selling)
  • insiders are NET SELLERS over the window
  • NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
  • no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
Cross-asset confirmation
  • closest sector ETF: XLF
  • XLF above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
  • XLF vs SPY 6m: -1.2 pts
  • stock vs XLF RS (3m/6m avg): -1.3 pts
What strengthens the thesis
  • A confirmed higher high above 1077.21 on expanding OBV.
  • Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
  • XLF extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
What invalidates the thesis
  • Loss of the rising 50DMA (1053.38) with expanding volatility — reduce.
  • Breakdown below the prior structural base (980.75) — exit, no averaging down.
  • OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
  • Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
Insider detail
  • CFO: —
  • 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
  • Market cap $302,608,613,376 · 20d avg dollar volume $2,016,064,367
Net insider activity
Insiders are NET SELLERS. The CFO purchase is contradicted.
Open-market purchases$0
Open-market sales$35,607,814
Sales after option exercise$0
Distinct buyers / sellers0 / 6
Net purchase ratio-1.00
Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales-1.00
Reaction to news
8 material events; 2 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 14 Jul: rewarded (+9.0%).
SessionFilingEventGapDayvs SPYVol+5dRead
11 Aug 268-KMaterial event+0.2%-0.0%+0.3%0.9x+0.6%Neutral
03 Aug 2610-QQuarterly report+0.7%+0.9%-0.6%0.9x+0.7%Neutral
27 Jul 268-KMaterial event+1.8%-1.2%-1.2%1.2x-2.0%Neutral
21 Jul 268-KMaterial event+1.4%+2.9%+2.1%0.8x-4.8%Rewarded
20 Jul 268-KOther material event+0.9%-1.0%-0.8%0.8x-0.6%Neutral
14 Jul 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings); Regulation FD disclosure+3.7%+9.0%+8.6%1.8x-4.8%Rewarded
24 Jun 268-KOther material event-0.4%-1.6%-1.6%0.8x-5.3%Neutral
03 Jun 268-KMaterial event-0.9%-2.2%-1.5%1.2x-3.8%Neutral