JKHY
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.
Regime Shift, sector confirmed; strongest on regime (18/20); weakest on insider signal (2/20). Last earnings neutral (+2.2%).
Regime Shift
XLK
sector confirmed
1 insider(s)
buy date unknown
61
conviction / 100
-4.6 since 21 Aug
73.8
technical / 100
$25,000–$35,000
Standard
Regime clarity18.1
Sponsorship / positioning14.0
Volatility behaviour12.5
Catalyst alignment (insider)2.0
Cross-asset confirmation14.4
Last
166.12
Add above
172.07
Cut below
144.38
50DMA
146.69
200DMA
158.76
JKHY — daily, 14 months
XLK — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA rising
- 50DMA rising
- higher highs and higher lows
- efficiency ratio 0.20
- OBV 50d slope +0.375 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV fell through last pullback
- last pullback 7.0% deep
- 1 wide down bars (30d)
- ATR expanding vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster
- net purchase ratio unavailable
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLK
- XLK above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLK vs SPY 6m: +18.4 pts
- stock vs XLK RS (3m/6m avg): -3.8 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 172.07 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLK extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Continued base-building above the reclaimed 200DMA without volatility expansion.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (146.69) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (144.38) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
- Market cap $11,802,955,776 · 20d avg dollar volume $141,762,717
- No open-market insider transactions found in the lookback window.
8 material events; 1 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 18 Aug: neutral (+2.2%).
| Session | Filing | Event | Gap | Day | vs SPY | Vol | +5d | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +1.1% | +2.2% | +2.8% | 1.6x | — | Neutral |
| 11 Aug 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | -0.5% | -0.9% | -0.6% | 0.9x | -0.3% | Neutral |
| 04 Jun 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change; Regulation FD disclosure | +1.8% | -1.8% | -2.2% | 0.8x | -3.6% | Neutral |
| 12 May 26 | 8-K | Other material event | +1.4% | +0.8% | +0.9% | 1.3x | -2.9% | Neutral |
| 07 May 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | -0.3% | +2.2% | +2.5% | 1.3x | -8.2% | Rewarded |
| 05 May 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | -1.0% | -2.1% | -2.9% | 1.3x | -3.1% | Neutral |
| 28 Apr 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +1.5% | +1.2% | +1.7% | 0.7x | -2.3% | Neutral |
| 26 Mar 26 | 8-K | Material agreement; Agreement terminated; Material obligation created | -0.1% | -0.1% | +1.7% | 0.9x | +0.2% | Neutral |