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DXCM

Requested read · Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:48 · same framework and thresholds as the weekly CFO screen

Market regime: SPY above its rising 200DMA; efficiency ratio 0.04 — overlapping, stand aside. Stage: Mature Trend.
DXCM
DexCom, Inc.
Stand aside — insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (5 selling vs 0 buying). No insider purchase offsets the selling; this is one-way selling.
Early Trend Expansion XLV sector confirmed 1 insider(s) net purchase ratio -1.00 buy date unknown
64
conviction / 100
-0.3 since 26 Aug
80.6
technical / 100
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity17.5
Sponsorship / positioning14.0
Volatility behaviour20.0
Catalyst alignment (insider)0.0
Cross-asset confirmation13.0
Stand aside — hard gate breached
  • Insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (5 selling vs 0 buying). No insider purchase offsets the selling; this is one-way selling.
Last
90.10
Add above
92.59
Cut below
69.79
50DMA
78.85
200DMA
69.95
DXCM daily chart: price with 50 and 200 day moving averages, volume, and on-balance volume
DXCM — daily, 14 months
XLV sector ETF daily chart
XLV — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
  • price above 200DMA
  • 200DMA rising
  • 50DMA rising
  • higher highs and higher lows
  • efficiency ratio 0.17
Sponsorship / positioning
  • OBV 50d slope +0.269 avg-daily-volumes/bar
  • no OBV divergence at highs
  • OBV fell through last pullback
Volatility behaviour
  • last pullback 5.3% deep
  • no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
  • ATR contracting vs 20d mean
Catalyst alignment (insider)
  • single insider — no cluster
  • net purchase ratio -1.00 (0 buying vs 5 selling)
  • insiders are NET SELLERS over the window
  • NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
  • no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
Cross-asset confirmation
  • closest sector ETF: XLV
  • XLV above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
  • XLV vs SPY 6m: -2.0 pts
  • stock vs XLV RS (3m/6m avg): +10.4 pts
What strengthens the thesis
  • A confirmed higher high above 92.59 on expanding OBV.
  • Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
  • XLV extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
  • Continued base-building above the reclaimed 200DMA without volatility expansion.
What invalidates the thesis
  • Loss of the rising 50DMA (78.85) with expanding volatility — reduce.
  • Breakdown below the prior structural base (69.79) — exit, no averaging down.
  • OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
  • Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
Insider detail
  • CFO: —
  • 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
  • Market cap $34,000,203,776 · 20d avg dollar volume $475,606,961
Net insider activity
Insiders are NET SELLERS. The CFO purchase is contradicted.
Open-market purchases$0
Open-market sales$10,533,698
Sales after option exercise$0
Distinct buyers / sellers0 / 5
Net purchase ratio-1.00
Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales-1.00
Reaction to news
7 material events; 3 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 30 Jul: neutral (-0.8%).
SessionFilingEventGapDayvs SPYVol+5dRead
30 Jul 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings)-1.6%-0.8%-2.5%1.3x+11.4%Neutral
30 Jul 2610-QQuarterly report-1.6%-0.8%-2.5%1.3x+11.4%Neutral
28 May 268-KMaterial event-0.2%+3.0%+2.4%0.8x+0.3%Rewarded
15 May 268-KRegulation FD disclosure; Other material event+3.6%+6.6%+7.8%2.1x+17.0%Neutral
30 Apr 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings)+0.6%+3.5%+2.5%1.3x+2.3%Rewarded
30 Apr 2610-QQuarterly report+0.6%+3.5%+2.5%1.3x+2.3%Rewarded
02 Mar 268-KDirector or officer change-1.4%+0.5%+0.4%0.7x-6.8%Neutral