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JKHY, NOMD

Requested read · Monday 24 August 2026, 13:46 · same framework and thresholds as the weekly CFO screen

Market regime: SPY above its rising 200DMA; efficiency ratio 0.03 — overlapping, stand aside. Stage: Mature Trend.

Ranked

highest conviction first · click a name for its charts
1 JKHY Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. Regime Shift, sector confirmed; strongest on regime (18/20); weakest on insider signal (11/20). Last earnings neutral (+2.2%). 72 $25,000–$35,000 2 NOMD Nomad Foods Limited Stand aside — 200DMA is not rising — regime not clear. 70
#1 JKHY
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.
Regime Shift, sector confirmed; strongest on regime (18/20); weakest on insider signal (11/20). Last earnings neutral (+2.2%).
Regime Shift XLK sector confirmed $50,295 CFO$266,840 other insiders (1) 2 insider(s) net purchase ratio +1.00 102d since buy
72
conviction / 100
+10.8 since 21 Aug
75.9
technical / 100
$25,000–$35,000
Standard
Regime clarity18.4
Sponsorship / positioning14.0
Volatility behaviour12.5
Catalyst alignment (insider)11.1
Cross-asset confirmation15.8
Last
169.59
Add above
172.07
Cut below
149.19
50DMA
147.56
200DMA
158.86
JKHY daily chart: price with 50 and 200 day moving averages, volume, and on-balance volume
JKHY — daily, 14 months
XLK sector ETF daily chart
XLK — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
  • price above 200DMA
  • 200DMA rising
  • 50DMA rising
  • higher highs and higher lows
  • efficiency ratio 0.22
Sponsorship / positioning
  • OBV 50d slope +0.362 avg-daily-volumes/bar
  • no OBV divergence at highs
  • OBV fell through last pullback
Volatility behaviour
  • last pullback 7.0% deep
  • 1 wide down bars (30d)
  • ATR expanding vs 20d mean
Catalyst alignment (insider)
  • 2 distinct insiders buying (1 CFO, 1 CEO)
  • net purchase ratio +1.00 (2 buying vs 0 selling)
  • CFO purchases $50,295 (CFO, Treasurer)
  • 0.0 bps of market cap
  • grew the CFO's own position by 7%
  • 102 days since the last CFO buy
Cross-asset confirmation
  • closest sector ETF: XLK
  • XLK above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
  • XLK vs SPY 6m: +17.3 pts
  • stock vs XLK RS (3m/6m avg): +1.1 pts
What strengthens the thesis
  • A confirmed higher high above 172.07 on expanding OBV.
  • Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
  • XLK extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
  • Continued base-building above the reclaimed 200DMA without volatility expansion.
What invalidates the thesis
  • Loss of the rising 50DMA (147.56) with expanding volatility — reduce.
  • Breakdown below the prior structural base (149.19) — exit, no averaging down.
  • OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
  • Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
Insider detail
  • CFO: Carsley Mimi — CFO, Treasurer
  • 1 CFO purchase(s), $50,295 total; last filed 2026-05-14 17:40:20
  • Market cap $12,049,502,208 · 20d avg dollar volume $143,737,421
Net insider activity
Net buying across the insider group.
Open-market purchases$317,135
Open-market sales$0
Sales after option exercise$0
Distinct buyers / sellers2 / 0
Net purchase ratio+1.00
Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales+1.00
Purchase tape
1 CFO purchase(s) worth $50,295, plus 1 by other insiders worth $266,840. Only the CFO purchases score on the size and recency terms.
Trade dateInsiderSharesPriceValuePrice now vs buy
14 May 2026Adelson Gregory R.CEO2,000$133.42$266,840+27.1%
14 May 2026Carsley MimiCFO375$134.12$50,295+26.4%
Reaction to news
8 material events; 1 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 18 Aug: neutral (+2.2%).
SessionFilingEventGapDayvs SPYVol+5dRead
18 Aug 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings)+1.1%+2.2%+2.8%1.6xNeutral
11 Aug 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings)-0.5%-0.9%-0.6%0.9x-0.3%Neutral
04 Jun 268-KDirector or officer change; Regulation FD disclosure+1.8%-1.8%-2.2%0.8x-3.6%Neutral
12 May 268-KOther material event+1.4%+0.8%+0.9%1.3x-2.9%Neutral
07 May 2610-QQuarterly report-0.3%+2.2%+2.5%1.3x-8.2%Rewarded
05 May 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings)-1.0%-2.1%-2.9%1.3x-3.1%Neutral
28 Apr 268-K · earningsResults of operations (earnings)+1.5%+1.2%+1.7%0.7x-2.3%Neutral
26 Mar 268-KMaterial agreement; Agreement terminated; Material obligation created-0.1%-0.1%+1.7%0.9x+0.2%Neutral
#2 NOMD
Nomad Foods Limited
Stand aside — 200DMA is not rising — regime not clear.
Regime Shift XLP sector confirmed $478,300 CFO$9,013,960 other insiders (3) 4 insider(s) net purchase ratio +1.00 5d since buy
70
conviction / 100
-0.7 since 24 Aug
65.6
technical / 100
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity11.6
Sponsorship / positioning14.0
Volatility behaviour16.0
Catalyst alignment (insider)17.1
Cross-asset confirmation10.9
Stand aside — hard gate breached
  • 200DMA is not rising — regime not clear.
Last
12.24
Add above
12.60
Cut below
10.93
50DMA
11.29
200DMA
10.87
NOMD daily chart: price with 50 and 200 day moving averages, volume, and on-balance volume
NOMD — daily, 14 months
XLP sector ETF daily chart
XLP — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
  • price above 200DMA
  • 200DMA flat/falling
  • 50DMA rising
  • partial HH/HL structure
  • efficiency ratio 0.20
Sponsorship / positioning
  • OBV 50d slope +0.245 avg-daily-volumes/bar
  • no OBV divergence at highs
  • OBV fell through last pullback
Volatility behaviour
  • last pullback 9.1% deep
  • no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
  • ATR expanding vs 20d mean
Catalyst alignment (insider)
  • cluster: 4 distinct insiders buying (2 CFO, 1 CEO, 1 Chair, 1 Director)
  • net purchase ratio +1.00 (4 buying vs 0 selling)
  • CFO purchases $478,300 (CFO)
  • 2.7 bps of market cap
  • grew the CFO's own position by 8%
  • 5 days since the last CFO buy
Cross-asset confirmation
  • closest sector ETF: XLP
  • XLP above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
  • XLP vs SPY 6m: -13.1 pts
  • stock vs XLP RS (3m/6m avg): +8.1 pts
What strengthens the thesis
  • A confirmed higher high above 12.60 on expanding OBV.
  • Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
  • XLP extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
  • Continued base-building above the reclaimed 200DMA without volatility expansion.
What invalidates the thesis
  • Loss of the rising 50DMA (11.29) with expanding volatility — reduce.
  • Breakdown below the prior structural base (10.93) — exit, no averaging down.
  • OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
  • Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
Insider detail
  • CFO: Baldew Ruben — CFO
  • 2 CFO purchase(s), $478,300 total; last filed 2026-08-21 16:30:18
  • Market cap $1,740,400,000 · 20d avg dollar volume $22,501,220
Net insider activity
Net buying across the insider group.
Open-market purchases$9,492,260
Open-market sales$0
Sales after option exercise$0
Distinct buyers / sellers4 / 0
Net purchase ratio+1.00
Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales+1.00
Purchase tape
2 CFO purchase(s) worth $478,300, plus 3 by other insiders worth $9,013,960. Only the CFO purchases score on the size and recency terms.
Trade dateInsiderSharesPriceValuePrice now vs buy
11 May 2026Gottesman NoamChair700,000$9.47$6,632,410+29.3%
13 May 2026Ashken Ian G HDirector100,000$9.13$912,690+34.1%
14 May 2026Baldew RubenCFO14,731$9.71$143,069+26.1%
15 May 2026Brisby DominicCEO150,000$9.79$1,468,860+25.1%
19 Aug 2026Baldew RubenCFO28,290$11.85$335,231+3.3%
Reaction to news
3 material events; 2 taken well, 1 badly; last earnings 13 Aug: rewarded (+5.6%).
SessionFilingEventGapDayvs SPYVol+5dRead
13 Aug 26EarningsEarnings-4.1%+5.6%+4.9%2.7x-3.6%Rewarded
07 May 26EarningsEarnings+2.4%+0.2%+0.5%2.2x-1.7%Shrugged off
26 Feb 26EarningsEarnings-8.6%-8.7%-8.1%6.4x-8.3%Punished