#1 CSX
CSX Corporation
Stand aside — insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -0.80 over the last 180 days (4 selling vs 1 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling.
Mature Trend
XLI
sector confirmed
no CFO purchase$1,006,750 other insiders (1)
1 insider(s)
net purchase ratio -0.80
buy date unknown
55
conviction / 100
+1.0 since 18 Aug
68.5
technical / 100
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity15.7
Sponsorship / positioning10.3
Volatility behaviour16.5
Catalyst alignment (insider)0.0
Cross-asset confirmation12.3
Stand aside — hard gate breached
- Insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -0.80 over the last 180 days (4 selling vs 1 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling.
Last
51.25
Add above
51.59
Cut below
49.71
50DMA
49.29
200DMA
42.17
CSX — daily, 14 months
XLI — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA rising
- 50DMA rising
- partial HH/HL structure
- efficiency ratio 0.16
- OBV 50d slope +0.094 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV fell through last pullback
- last pullback 6.4% deep
- 1 wide down bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster (1 CEO)
- net purchase ratio -0.80 (1 buying vs 4 selling)
- insiders are NET SELLERS over the window
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- other insiders bought $1,006,750 (1 CEO) — counted through cluster breadth and net buying only
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLI
- XLI above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLI vs SPY 6m: -8.9 pts
- stock vs XLI RS (3m/6m avg): +12.6 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 51.59 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLI extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (49.29) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (49.71) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), $0 total; last filed 2026-03-06 16:39:52
- Market cap $94,939,340,800 · 20d avg dollar volume $560,521,819
Insiders are NET SELLERS. The CFO purchase is contradicted.
| Open-market purchases | $1,006,750 |
| Open-market sales | $2,063,200 |
| Sales after option exercise | $7,069,104 |
| Distinct buyers / sellers | 1 / 4 |
| Net purchase ratio | -0.80 |
| Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales | -0.34 |
No CFO purchase here — 1 purchase(s) by other insiders worth $1,006,750. These count toward cluster breadth and net buying, not the CFO-specific terms.
| Trade date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value | Price now vs buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar 2026 | Angel Stephen FCEO | 25,000 | $40.27 | $1,006,750 | +27.3% |
5 material events; 1 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 22 Jul: neutral (+0.1%).
| Session | Filing | Event | Gap | Day | vs SPY | Vol | +5d | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.4x | +1.6% | Neutral |
| 22 Jul 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.4x | +1.6% | Neutral |
| 14 May 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change; Other material event | +0.2% | +3.4% | +2.6% | 1.2x | -0.0% | Rewarded |
| 22 Apr 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +0.9% | -0.4% | -1.5% | 1.2x | +3.5% | Neutral |
| 22 Apr 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | +0.9% | -0.4% | -1.5% | 1.2x | +3.5% | Neutral |
