FFIV
F5, Inc.
Stand aside — insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (10 selling vs 0 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling. (+1 more)
Early Trend Expansion
XLK
sector confirmed
1 insider(s)
net purchase ratio -1.00
buy date unknown
70
conviction / 100
+0.5 since 21 Aug
87.0
technical / 100
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity14.0
Sponsorship / positioning19.5
Volatility behaviour19.8
Catalyst alignment (insider)0.0
Cross-asset confirmation16.3
Stand aside — hard gate breached
- Insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (10 selling vs 0 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling.
- Overlapping range behaviour — efficiency ratio 0.01 vs the 0.15 threshold (genuine chop).
Last
384.63
Add above
425.61
Cut below
377.79
50DMA
403.76
200DMA
319.50
FFIV — daily, 14 months
XLK — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA rising
- 50DMA rising
- no HH/HL structure
- efficiency ratio 0.01 (overlapping)
- OBV 50d slope +0.202 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV flat-to-rising through last pullback
- last pullback 12.4% deep
- no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster
- net purchase ratio -1.00 (0 buying vs 10 selling)
- insiders are NET SELLERS over the window
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLK
- XLK above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLK vs SPY 6m: +18.8 pts
- stock vs XLK RS (3m/6m avg): +2.6 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 425.61 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLK extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Continued base-building above the reclaimed 200DMA without volatility expansion.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (403.76) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (377.79) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
- Market cap $21,780,514,816 · 20d avg dollar volume $294,851,312
Insiders are NET SELLERS. The CFO purchase is contradicted.
| Open-market purchases | $0 |
| Open-market sales | $13,122,498 |
| Sales after option exercise | $3,326,523 |
| Distinct buyers / sellers | 0 / 10 |
| Net purchase ratio | -1.00 |
| Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales | -1.00 |
7 material events; 5 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 27 Jul: rewarded (+4.0%).
| Session | Filing | Event | Gap | Day | vs SPY | Vol | +5d | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.6% | 0.8x | +0.7% | Neutral |
| 27 Jul 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +1.7% | +4.0% | +4.0% | 2.9x | -0.4% | Rewarded |
| 23 Jun 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change; Regulation FD disclosure | -1.0% | -0.4% | +1.0% | 1.0x | +6.8% | Neutral |
| 05 May 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | +0.2% | +3.0% | +2.2% | 0.7x | +4.4% | Rewarded |
| 28 Apr 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +0.5% | +2.0% | +2.5% | 2.6x | +11.9% | Rewarded |
| 28 Apr 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change; Other material event | +0.5% | +2.0% | +2.5% | 2.6x | +11.9% | Rewarded |
| 13 Mar 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change | +1.1% | +2.3% | +2.9% | 0.9x | -1.7% | Rewarded |