EADSY
Airbus SE
Early Trend Expansion, sector confirmed; strongest on sponsorship (18/20); weakest on insider signal (2/20).
Early Trend Expansion
XLI
sector confirmed
1 insider(s)
buy date unknown
66
conviction / 100
79.9
technical / 100
$25,000–$35,000
Standard
Regime clarity17.8
Sponsorship / positioning18.3
Volatility behaviour16.5
Catalyst alignment (insider)2.0
Cross-asset confirmation11.3
Last
60.62
Add above
62.53
Cut below
57.77
50DMA
56.88
200DMA
54.63
EADSY — daily, 14 months
XLI — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA rising
- 50DMA rising
- higher highs and higher lows
- efficiency ratio 0.19
- OBV 50d slope +0.161 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV flat-to-rising through last pullback
- last pullback 4.0% deep
- 1 wide down bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster
- net purchase ratio unavailable
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLI
- XLI above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLI vs SPY 6m: -6.7 pts
- stock vs XLI RS (3m/6m avg): +9.5 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 62.53 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLI extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Continued base-building above the reclaimed 200DMA without volatility expansion.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (56.88) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (57.77) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
- Market cap $191,918,194,688 · 20d avg dollar volume $30,997,465
- No open-market insider transactions found in the lookback window.
- No material filings found in the window.