BMO
Bank Of Montreal
Mature Trend, sector confirmed; strongest on regime (20/20); weakest on insider signal (2/20). Last earnings neutral (+0.8%); +20 pts vs XLF over 6m.
Mature Trend
XLF
sector confirmed
1 insider(s)
buy date unknown
66
conviction / 100
$17,500–$24,500
Standard · sized down 30% for campaign stage (Mature Trend)
Regime clarity20.0
Sponsorship / positioning14.0
Volatility behaviour16.5
Catalyst alignment (insider)2.0
Cross-asset confirmation13.0
Last
182.24
Add above
182.93
Cut below
173.97
50DMA
173.87
200DMA
145.75
BMO — daily, 14 months
XLF — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA rising
- 50DMA rising
- higher highs and higher lows
- efficiency ratio 0.35
- OBV 50d slope +0.376 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV fell through last pullback
- last pullback 4.6% deep
- 1 wide down bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster
- net purchase ratio unavailable
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLF
- XLF above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLF vs SPY 6m: -3.7 pts
- stock vs XLF RS (3m/6m avg): +13.0 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 182.93 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLF extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (173.87) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (173.97) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
- Market cap $127,643,934,720 · 20d avg dollar volume $127,284,019
- No open-market insider transactions found in the lookback window.
2 material events; 1 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 27 May: neutral (+0.8%).
| Session | Filing | Event | Gap | Day | vs SPY | Vol | +5d | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May 26 | Earnings | Earnings | -0.7% | +0.8% | +0.8% | 1.0x | -0.5% | Neutral |
| 25 Feb 26 | Earnings | Earnings | +1.7% | +4.1% | +3.3% | 1.5x | -1.4% | Rewarded |