AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Stand aside — insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (7 selling vs 0 buying). The CFO purchase is contradicted by the rest of the insider group. (+1 more)
Late Extension
XLK
sector confirmed
1 insider(s)
net purchase ratio -1.00
buy date unknown
56
conviction / 100
-2.0 since 14 Aug
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity14.0
Sponsorship / positioning7.0
Volatility behaviour14.5
Catalyst alignment (insider)0.0
Cross-asset confirmation20.0
Stand aside — hard gate breached
- Insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (7 selling vs 0 buying). The CFO purchase is contradicted by the rest of the insider group.
- Overlapping range behaviour — efficiency ratio 0.08 vs the 0.15 threshold (genuine chop).
Last
514.39
Add above
530.13
Cut below
429.56
50DMA
510.40
200DMA
324.33
AMD — daily, 14 months
XLK — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA rising
- 50DMA rising
- no HH/HL structure
- efficiency ratio 0.08 (overlapping)
- OBV 50d slope -0.031 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV fell through last pullback
- last pullback 26.1% deep
- no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster
- net purchase ratio -1.00 (0 buying vs 7 selling)
- insiders are NET SELLERS over the window
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLK
- XLK above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLK vs SPY 6m: +22.3 pts
- stock vs XLK RS (3m/6m avg): +60.7 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 530.13 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLK extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (510.40) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (429.56) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), — total; last filed
- Market cap $839,728,824,320 · 20d avg dollar volume $14,069,167,884
Insiders are NET SELLERS. The CFO purchase is contradicted.
| Open-market purchases | $0 |
| Open-market sales | $143,530,812 |
| Sales after option exercise | $47,473,037 |
| Distinct buyers / sellers | 0 / 7 |
| Net purchase ratio | -1.00 |
| Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales | -1.00 |
8 material events; 4 taken well, 2 badly; last earnings 04 Aug: neutral (+7.0%).
| Session | Filing | Event | Gap | Day | vs SPY | Vol | +5d | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | -6.6% | -7.0% | -6.8% | 1.7x | +0.2% | Punished |
| 04 Aug 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings); Regulation FD disclosure | +4.0% | +7.0% | +5.2% | 1.7x | -8.5% | Neutral |
| 01 Jul 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change | -4.0% | -6.9% | -6.8% | 0.9x | +1.1% | Punished |
| 15 May 26 | 8-K | Material agreement; Agreement terminated; Material obligation created; Director or officer change | -3.6% | -5.7% | -4.5% | 0.6x | +10.2% | Absorbed |
| 06 May 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | +15.3% | +18.6% | +17.2% | 2.1x | +5.7% | Rewarded |
| 05 May 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings); Regulation FD disclosure | +2.9% | +4.0% | +3.2% | 1.6x | +26.2% | Rewarded |
| 24 Feb 26 | 8-K | Material agreement; Unregistered equity sale; Regulation FD disclosure | +7.6% | +8.8% | +8.0% | 2.1x | -10.7% | Rewarded |
| 17 Feb 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change | -2.5% | -2.0% | -2.2% | 0.8x | +5.3% | Neutral |