AGYS
Agilysys, Inc.
Stand aside — 200DMA is not rising — regime not clear. (+1 more)
Unclear
XLK
sector confirmed
no CFO purchase$27,289 other insiders (1)
1 insider(s)
net purchase ratio -1.00
buy date unknown
67
conviction / 100
+6.7 since 19 Aug
83.8
technical / 100
$0–$0
No trade / watch only · Hard gate breached.
Regime clarity13.0
Sponsorship / positioning14.0
Volatility behaviour20.0
Catalyst alignment (insider)0.0
Cross-asset confirmation20.0
Stand aside — hard gate breached
- 200DMA is not rising — regime not clear.
- Insiders are net sellers — net purchase ratio -1.00 over the last 180 days (3 selling vs 1 buying). There is no offsetting insider purchase — this is one-way selling.
Last
113.82
Add above
117.50
Cut below
103.75
50DMA
104.68
200DMA
95.25
AGYS — daily, 14 months
XLK — sector ETF, daily, 14 months
Pillar detail, thesis support and invalidation
Regime clarity
What strengthens the thesis
- price above 200DMA
- 200DMA flat/falling
- 50DMA rising
- higher highs and higher lows
- efficiency ratio 0.20
- OBV 50d slope +0.250 avg-daily-volumes/bar
- no OBV divergence at highs
- OBV fell through last pullback
- last pullback 7.5% deep
- no wide downside expansion bars (30d)
- ATR contracting vs 20d mean
- single insider — no cluster (1 Director)
- net purchase ratio -1.00 (1 buying vs 3 selling)
- insiders are NET SELLERS over the window
- NO CFO purchase in the window — the CFO-specific terms score zero
- other insiders bought $27,289 (1 Director) — counted through cluster breadth and net buying only
- no CFO buy to date — recency not scored
- closest sector ETF: XLK
- XLK above rising 200DMA (sector-led)
- XLK vs SPY 6m: +17.8 pts
- stock vs XLK RS (3m/6m avg): +35.4 pts
- A confirmed higher high above 117.50 on expanding OBV.
- Pullbacks that hold the rising 50DMA with flat-to-rising OBV.
- XLK extending its own trend while the stock holds relative strength.
- Loss of the rising 50DMA (104.68) with expanding volatility — reduce.
- Breakdown below the prior structural base (103.75) — exit, no averaging down.
- OBV divergence during a price acceleration — reduce.
- Sector ETF losing its own 200DMA — remove capital regardless of stock behaviour.
- CFO: —
- 0 CFO purchase(s), $0 total; last filed 2026-03-18 16:10:49
- Market cap $3,210,382,848 · 20d avg dollar volume $34,670,969
Insiders are NET SELLERS. The CFO purchase is contradicted.
| Open-market purchases | $27,289 |
| Open-market sales | $23,208,517 |
| Sales after option exercise | $0 |
| Distinct buyers / sellers | 1 / 3 |
| Net purchase ratio | -1.00 |
| Net purchase ratio, excl. option-exercise sales | -1.00 |
No CFO purchase here — 1 purchase(s) by other insiders worth $27,289. These count toward cluster breadth and net buying, not the CFO-specific terms.
| Trade date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value | Price now vs buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | Keating Melvin LDirector | 400 | $68.22 | $27,289 | +66.8% |
6 material events; 1 taken well, 0 badly; last earnings 27 Jul: neutral (+4.8%).
| Session | Filing | Event | Gap | Day | vs SPY | Vol | +5d | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | +0.9% | +4.8% | +4.7% | 0.9x | +6.2% | Neutral |
| 27 Jul 26 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | +0.9% | +4.8% | +4.7% | 0.9x | +6.2% | Neutral |
| 22 Jun 26 | 8-K | Director or officer change | -1.4% | -3.5% | -3.2% | 1.1x | +22.5% | Neutral |
| 03 Jun 26 | 8-K | Regulation FD disclosure | -0.2% | -1.5% | -0.8% | 0.7x | +3.2% | Neutral |
| 21 May 26 | 10-K | Annual report | -2.3% | -2.3% | -2.5% | 0.9x | +8.9% | Neutral |
| 18 May 26 | 8-K · earnings | Results of operations (earnings) | -0.2% | +4.2% | +4.3% | 3.2x | +12.9% | Rewarded |